Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.187518 0.214625 0.244978 0.281615 0.324809 0.374322 0.435671
2025-11-23 0.142141 0.176953 0.219987 0.277655 0.353762 0.451960 0.590202
2025-11-30 0.120225 0.158943 0.210360 0.284839 0.391981 0.543713 0.780705
2025-12-07 0.101980 0.141070 0.195892 0.280250 0.410190 0.608648 0.946665
2025-12-14 0.090231 0.129702 0.187699 0.281750 0.435638 0.687220 1.151352
2025-12-21 0.080712 0.119892 0.179819 0.281557 0.457184 0.762487 1.368795
2025-12-28 0.074503 0.114093 0.176961 0.288422 0.490980 0.864830 1.663772
2026-01-04 0.068789 0.108232 0.172999 0.292420 0.519901 0.963796 1.980809
2026-01-11 0.063955 0.103154 0.169540 0.296500 0.549323 1.069682 2.345667
2026-01-18 0.060362 0.099702 0.168343 0.304368 0.587361 1.201692 2.816032
2026-01-25 0.056285 0.094921 0.164121 0.305651 0.611872 1.309609 3.264393
2026-02-01 0.052545 0.090329 0.159660 0.305697 0.633582 1.416036 3.748961
2026-02-08 0.048837 0.085495 0.154332 0.303490 0.650620 1.517483 4.267913
2026-02-15 0.045236 0.080523 0.148208 0.298773 0.661155 1.605886 4.788479
2026-02-22 0.043314 0.078562 0.147814 0.306539 0.703601 1.791865 5.727625
2026-03-01 0.040343 0.074258 0.142161 0.301532 0.712733 1.886402 6.387006
2026-03-08 0.038266 0.071542 0.139519 0.303164 0.739734 2.042239 7.372485
2026-03-15 0.036222 0.068703 0.136305 0.302954 0.761749 2.189576 8.413058
2026-03-22 0.034961 0.067368 0.136210 0.310433 0.807233 2.428862 10.029334
2026-03-29 0.033557 0.065599 0.134958 0.314789 0.844628 2.653576 11.744306
2026-04-05 0.032261 0.063950 0.133800 0.319236 0.883445 2.897827 13.762981
2026-04-12 0.031324 0.062997 0.134155 0.327815 0.937513 3.221466 16.534265
2026-04-19 0.029999 0.061074 0.132016 0.329213 0.968492 3.465209 19.052204